Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 3:15pm CT · Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium · Fayetteville, AR · SEC NetworkFinal
UNA
North Alabama Lions · 1-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+40.5 (-105)
—
ARK
Arkansas Razorbacks · SEC · 1-0 · Home
FPI -1.6 · rank 74 · No CFBD row
-40.5 (-115)
—
Market vs model
Spread
ARK -40.5
ARK -40.5 (-115)
UNA +40.5 (-105)
UNA +40.5 (-105)
Model
ARK -12.9
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ARK
ARK — · UNA —
Total 63.5 — no O/U pick
Total 63.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ARK rating -1.6, UNA rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ARK.
- Predicted margin is ARK by 12.9.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 12.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10.4; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is ARK, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UNA
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
ARK
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 12.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10.4; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.