Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 2:30pm CT · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta, GA · ABC · Neutral · IndoorFinal
BAY
Baylor Bears · Big 12 · 0-1 · Away
FPI 8.1 · rank 38 · No CFBD row
+6.5 (-105)
+210
AUB
Auburn Tigers · SEC · 1-0
FPI 12.9 · rank 24 · No CFBD row
-6.5 (-115)
-258
Market vs model
Spread
AUB -6.5
AUB -6.5 (-115)
BAY +6.5 (-105)
BAY +6.5 (-105)
Model
AUB -4.8
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
AUB
AUB -258 · BAY +210
Total 58.5 — no O/U pick
Total 58.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- AUB rating 12.9, BAY rating 8.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Neutral site, so home field is 0.
- Predicted margin is AUB by 4.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 4.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.8; neutral site (no home field)).
- Moneyline ticket is AUB, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
BAY
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
AUB
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 4.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.8; neutral site (no home field)).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.