Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 6:45pm CT · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium · Gainesville, FL · SEC NetworkFinal
FAU
Florida Atlantic Owls · American · 0-1 · Away
FPI -10.4 · rank 113 · No CFBD row
+26.5 (-112)
+1200
#21 FLA
Florida Gators · SEC · 1-0 · Home
FPI 16.4 · rank 16 · No CFBD row
-26.5 (-108)
-2400
Market vs model
Spread
FLA -26.5
FLA -26.5 (-108)
FAU +26.5 (-112)
FAU +26.5 (-112)
Model
FLA -29.2
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FLA
FLA -2400 · FAU +1200
Total 59.5 — no O/U pick
Total 59.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- FLA rating 16.4, FAU rating -10.4.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to FLA.
- Predicted margin is FLA by 29.2.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 29.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 26.7; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is FLA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
FAU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
FLA
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 29.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 26.7; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.