Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 2:00pm CT · Sanford Stadium · Athens, GA · SECN+Final
TNST
Tennessee State Tigers · 0-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+49.5 (-112)
—
#2 UGA
Georgia Bulldogs · SEC · 1-0 · Home
FPI 27.1 · rank 3 · No CFBD row
-49.5 (-108)
—
Market vs model
Spread
UGA -49.5
UGA -49.5 (-108)
TNST +49.5 (-112)
TNST +49.5 (-112)
Model
UGA -41.6
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UGA
UGA — · TNST —
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UGA rating 27.1, TNST rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UGA.
- Predicted margin is UGA by 41.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 41.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 39.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is UGA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
TNST
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
UGA
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 41.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 39.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.