Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 12:00pm CT · Kroger Field · Lexington, KY · SECN+Final
YSU
Youngstown State Penguins · 1-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+22.5 (-110)
+1100
UK
Kentucky Wildcats · SEC · 1-0 · Home
FPI 8.5 · rank 36 · No CFBD row
-22.5 (-110)
-2100
Market vs model
Spread
UK -22.5
UK -22.5 (-110)
YSU +22.5 (-110)
YSU +22.5 (-110)
Model
UK -23
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UK
UK -2100 · YSU +1100
Total 61.5 — no O/U pick
Total 61.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UK rating 8.5, YSU rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UK.
- Predicted margin is UK by 23.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 23. No market line yet. (Rating gap 20.5; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is UK, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
YSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
UK
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 23. No market line yet. (Rating gap 20.5; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.