Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 8:40pm CT · Tiger Stadium (LA) · Baton Rouge, LA · ABCFinal
CLEM
Clemson Tigers · ACC · 0-1 · Away
FPI 6.1 · rank 42 · No CFBD row
+10 (-108)
+320
#10 LSU
LSU Tigers · SEC · 1-0 · Home
FPI 20.3 · rank 8 · No CFBD row
-10 (-112)
-410
Market vs model
Spread
LSU -10
LSU -10 (-112)
CLEM +10 (-108)
CLEM +10 (-108)
Model
LSU -16.7
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LSU
LSU -410 · CLEM +320
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- LSU rating 20.3, CLEM rating 6.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to LSU.
- Predicted margin is LSU by 16.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 16.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14.2; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is LSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
CLEM
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
LSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 16.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14.2; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.