Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sun, Sep 6 · 6:30pm CT · Nissan Stadium · Nashville, TN · ABC · NeutralFinal
#16 LOU
Louisville Cardinals · ACC · 0-1 · Away
FPI 13.9 · rank 23 · No CFBD row
+6.5 (-108)
+200
#4 MISS
Ole Miss Rebels · SEC · 1-0
FPI 17.7 · rank 13 · No CFBD row
-6.5 (-112)
-245
Market vs model
Spread
MISS -6.5
MISS -6.5 (-112)
LOU +6.5 (-108)
LOU +6.5 (-108)
Model
MISS -3.8
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MISS
MISS -245 · LOU +200
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MISS rating 17.7, LOU rating 13.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Neutral site, so home field is 0.
- Predicted margin is MISS by 3.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 3.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.8; neutral site (no home field)).
- Moneyline ticket is MISS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
LOU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
MISS
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 3.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.8; neutral site (no home field)).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.