Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Thu, Sep 3 · 7:00pm CT · Memorial Stadium · Columbia, MO · SEC NetworkFinal
UAPB
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions · 1-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+55.5 (+105)
—
#19 MIZ
Missouri Tigers · SEC · 1-0 · Home
FPI 10.5 · rank 32 · No CFBD row
-55.5 (-125)
—
Market vs model
Spread
MIZ -55.5
MIZ -55.5 (-125)
UAPB +55.5 (+105)
UAPB +55.5 (+105)
Model
MIZ -25
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MIZ
MIZ — · UAPB —
Total 62.5 — no O/U pick
Total 62.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MIZ rating 10.5, UAPB rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MIZ.
- Predicted margin is MIZ by 25.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 25. No market line yet. (Rating gap 22.5; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is MIZ, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UAPB
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
MIZ
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 25. No market line yet. (Rating gap 22.5; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.