Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Sep 4 · 7:00pm CT · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) · Norman, OK · SECN+Final
UTEP
UTEP Miners · Mountain West · 0-1 · Away
FPI -18.3 · rank 131 · No CFBD row
+40.5 (-110)
#10 OU
Oklahoma Sooners · SEC · 1-0 · Home
FPI 16.7 · rank 14 · No CFBD row
-40.5 (-110)

Market vs model

Spread
OU -40.5
OU -40.5 (-110)
UTEP +40.5 (-110)
Model
OU -37.5
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
OU
OU · UTEP
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • OU rating 16.7, UTEP rating -18.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to OU.
  • Predicted margin is OU by 37.5.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 37.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 35; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is OU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UTEP

FPI -18.3 · rank 131 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

OU

FPI 16.7 · rank 14 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 37.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 35; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.