Fri, Sep 4 · 7:00pm CT · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) · Norman, OK · SECN+Final
UTEP
UTEP Miners · Mountain West · 0-1 · Away
FPI -18.3 · rank 131 · No CFBD row
+40.5 (-110)
—
#10 OU
Oklahoma Sooners · SEC · 1-0 · Home
FPI 16.7 · rank 14 · No CFBD row
-40.5 (-110)
—
Market vs model
Spread
OU -40.5
OU -40.5 (-110) UTEP +40.5 (-110)
Model
OU -37.5
Edge — Full ratings ESPN FPI only
ML / total
OU
OU — · UTEP — Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
OU rating 16.7, UTEP rating -18.3.
Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
Home field adds 2.5 to OU.
Predicted margin is OU by 37.5.
There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
Model home 37.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 35; home field +2.5).
Moneyline ticket is OU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UTEP
FPI -18.3 · rank 131 · No CFBD row
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
OU
FPI 16.7 · rank 14 · No CFBD row
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 37.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 35; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.