Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 6:00pm CT · FirstBank Stadium · Nashville, TN · SECN+Final
APSU
Austin Peay Governors · 1-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+29.5 (-112)
+2000
VAN
Vanderbilt Commodores · SEC · 1-0 · Home
FPI 6.1 · rank 43 · No CFBD row
-29.5 (-108)
-6500
Market vs model
Spread
VAN -29.5
VAN -29.5 (-108)
APSU +29.5 (-112)
APSU +29.5 (-112)
Model
VAN -20.6
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
VAN
VAN -6500 · APSU +2000
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- VAN rating 6.1, APSU rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to VAN.
- Predicted margin is VAN by 20.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 20.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 18.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is VAN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
APSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
VAN
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 20.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 18.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.