Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 7:50pm CT · Jordan-Hare Stadium · Auburn, AL · SEC NetworkFinal
USM
Southern Miss Golden Eagles · Sun Belt · 1-1 · Away
FPI -13.1 · rank 118 · No CFBD row
+32.5 (-118)
+2500
AUB
Auburn Tigers · SEC · 2-0 · Home
FPI 12.9 · rank 24 · No CFBD row
-32.5 (-102)
-9000
Market vs model
Spread
AUB -32.5
AUB -32.5 (-102)
USM +32.5 (-118)
USM +32.5 (-118)
Model
AUB -28.5
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
AUB
AUB -9000 · USM +2500
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- AUB rating 12.9, USM rating -13.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to AUB.
- Predicted margin is AUB by 28.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 28.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 26; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is AUB, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
USM
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
AUB
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 28.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 26; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.