Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 4:30pm CT · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium · Gainesville, FL · SECN+Final
CAM
Campbell Fighting Camels · 2-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+51.5 (-110)
#21 FLA
Florida Gators · SEC · 2-0 · Home
FPI 16.4 · rank 16 · No CFBD row
-51.5 (-110)

Market vs model

Spread
FLA -51.5
FLA -51.5 (-110)
CAM +51.5 (-110)
Model
FLA -30.9
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FLA
FLA · CAM
Total 66.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • FLA rating 16.4, CAM rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to FLA.
  • Predicted margin is FLA by 30.9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 30.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 28.4; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is FLA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

CAM

No FPI row · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

FLA

FPI 16.4 · rank 16 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 30.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 28.4; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.