Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 6:45pm CT · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium · Oxford, MS · ESPN2Final
CLT
Charlotte 49ers · American · 0-2 · Away
FPI -15 · rank 126 · No CFBD row
+44.5 (-105)
—
#4 MISS
Ole Miss Rebels · SEC · 2-0 · Home
FPI 17.7 · rank 13 · No CFBD row
-44.5 (-115)
—
Market vs model
Spread
MISS -44.5
MISS -44.5 (-115)
CLT +44.5 (-105)
CLT +44.5 (-105)
Model
MISS -35.2
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MISS
MISS — · CLT —
Total 59.5 — no O/U pick
Total 59.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MISS rating 17.7, CLT rating -15.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MISS.
- Predicted margin is MISS by 35.2.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 35.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 32.7; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is MISS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
CLT
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
MISS
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 35.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 32.7; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.