Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 2:30pm CT · Huntington Bank Stadium · Minneapolis, MN · CBSFinal
#24 MSST
Mississippi State Bulldogs · SEC · 2-0 · Away
FPI 14.1 · rank 22 · No CFBD row
-1.5 (-102)
-110
MINN
Minnesota Golden Gophers · Big Ten · 1-1 · Home
FPI 0.9 · rank 62 · No CFBD row
+1.5 (-118)
-110
Market vs model
Spread
MSST -1.5
MINN +1.5 (-118)
MSST -1.5 (-102)
MSST -1.5 (-102)
Model
MSST -10.7
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MSST
MINN -110 · MSST -110
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MINN rating 0.9, MSST rating 14.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MINN.
- Predicted margin is MSST by 10.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 10.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13.2; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is MSST, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MSST
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
MINN
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 10.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13.2; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.