Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Sep 11 · 7:00pm CT · David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium · Lawrence, KS · FOXFinal
#19 MIZ
Missouri Tigers · SEC · 2-0 · Away
FPI 10.5 · rank 32 · No CFBD row
-4 (-110)
-198
KU
Kansas Jayhawks · Big 12 · 1-1 · Home
FPI -0.1 · rank 67 · No CFBD row
+4 (-110)
+164
Market vs model
Spread
MIZ -4
KU +4 (-110)
MIZ -4 (-110)
MIZ -4 (-110)
Model
MIZ -8.2
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MIZ
KU +164 · MIZ -198
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- KU rating -0.1, MIZ rating 10.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to KU.
- Predicted margin is MIZ by 8.2.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 8.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -10.7; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is MIZ, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MIZ
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
KU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 8.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -10.7; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.