Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 11:00am CT · Michigan Stadium · Ann Arbor, MI · ERADMFinal
#11 OU
Oklahoma Sooners · SEC · 1-1 · Away
FPI 16.7 · rank 14 · No CFBD row
-5.5 (-110)
-230
#18 MICH
Michigan Wolverines · Big Ten · 2-0 · Home
FPI 14.9 · rank 20 · No CFBD row
+5.5 (-110)
+190
Market vs model
Spread
OU -5.5
MICH +5.5 (-110)
OU -5.5 (-110)
OU -5.5 (-110)
Model
MICH -0.7
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
MICH +190 · OU -230
Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MICH rating 14.9, OU rating 16.7.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MICH.
- Predicted margin is MICH by 0.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 0.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
OU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
MICH
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 0.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.8; home field +2.5).
No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.