Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 6:00pm CT · Williams-Brice Stadium · Columbia, SC · SECN+Final
TOW
Towson Tigers · 0-3 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+44.5 (-108)
—
SC
South Carolina Gamecocks · SEC · 2-0 · Home
FPI 12.1 · rank 27 · No CFBD row
-44.5 (-112)
—
Market vs model
Spread
SC -44.5
SC -44.5 (-112)
TOW +44.5 (-108)
TOW +44.5 (-108)
Model
SC -26.6
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
SC
SC — · TOW —
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- SC rating 12.1, TOW rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to SC.
- Predicted margin is SC by 26.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 26.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 24.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is SC, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
TOW
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
SC
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 26.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 24.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.