Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 6:00pm CT · Bobby Dodd Stadium · Atlanta, GA · ESPNFinal
#14 TENN
Tennessee Volunteers · SEC · 2-0 · Away
FPI 18.5 · rank 10 · No CFBD row
-12.5 (-108)
-485
GT
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets · ACC · 0-2 · Home
FPI 2.1 · rank 60 · No CFBD row
+12.5 (-112)
+370
Market vs model
Spread
TENN -12.5
GT +12.5 (-112)
TENN -12.5 (-108)
TENN -12.5 (-108)
Model
TENN -13.9
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TENN
GT +370 · TENN -485
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- GT rating 2.1, TENN rating 18.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to GT.
- Predicted margin is TENN by 13.9.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 13.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -16.4; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TENN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
TENN
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
GT
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 13.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -16.4; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.