Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 11:00am CT · Kyle Field · College Station, TX · ABCFinal
ASU
Arizona State Sun Devils · Big 12 · 1-1 · Away
FPI 3.8 · rank 58 · No CFBD row
+15.5 (-112)
+550
#23 TA&M
Texas A&M Aggies · SEC · 2-0 · Home
FPI 18.2 · rank 11 · No CFBD row
-15.5 (-108)
-800
Market vs model
Spread
TA&M -15.5
TA&M -15.5 (-108)
ASU +15.5 (-112)
ASU +15.5 (-112)
Model
TA&M -16.9
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TA&M
TA&M -800 · ASU +550
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TA&M rating 18.2, ASU rating 3.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TA&M.
- Predicted margin is TA&M by 16.9.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 16.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14.4; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TA&M, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ASU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
TA&M
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 16.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14.4; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.