Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 3:15pm CT · FirstBank Stadium · Nashville, TN · SEC NetworkFinal
DEL
Delaware Blue Hens · C-USA · 1-1 · Away
FPI -4 · rank 82 · No CFBD row
+20.5 (-105)
+800
VAN
Vanderbilt Commodores · SEC · 2-0 · Home
FPI 6.1 · rank 43 · No CFBD row
-20.5 (-115)
-1350

Market vs model

Spread
VAN -20.5
VAN -20.5 (-115)
DEL +20.5 (-105)
Model
VAN -12.6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
VAN
VAN -1350 · DEL +800
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • VAN rating 6.1, DEL rating -4.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to VAN.
  • Predicted margin is VAN by 12.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 12.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is VAN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

DEL

FPI -4 · rank 82 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

VAN

FPI 6.1 · rank 43 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 12.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.