Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00am CT · Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium · Fayetteville, AR · ABCFinal
#2 UGA
Georgia Bulldogs · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 27.1 · rank 3 · No CFBD row
-24.5 (-110)
-2800
ARK
Arkansas Razorbacks · SEC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -1.6 · rank 74 · No CFBD row
+24.5 (-110)
+1300

Market vs model

Spread
UGA -24.5
ARK +24.5 (-110)
UGA -24.5 (-110)
Model
UGA -26.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UGA
ARK +1300 · UGA -2800
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ARK rating -1.6, UGA rating 27.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ARK.
  • Predicted margin is UGA by 26.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 26.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -28.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UGA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UGA

FPI 27.1 · rank 3 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

ARK

FPI -1.6 · rank 74 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 26.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -28.6; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.