Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00pm CT · Jordan-Hare Stadium · Auburn, AL · ESPNFinal
#21 FLA
Florida Gators · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 16.4 · rank 16 · No CFBD row
-2.5 (-110)
-135
AUB
Auburn Tigers · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 12.9 · rank 24 · No CFBD row
+2.5 (-110)
+114

Market vs model

Spread
FLA -2.5
AUB +2.5 (-110)
FLA -2.5 (-110)
Model
FLA -1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
AUB +114 · FLA -135
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • AUB rating 12.9, FLA rating 16.4.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to AUB.
  • Predicted margin is FLA by 1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -3.5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

FLA

FPI 16.4 · rank 16 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

AUB

FPI 12.9 · rank 24 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -3.5; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.