Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 19 · 6:30pm CT · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium · Oxford, MS · ABCFinal
#10 LSU
LSU Tigers · SEC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 20.3 · rank 8 · No CFBD row
-3 (-105)
-148
#4 MISS
Ole Miss Rebels · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 17.7 · rank 13 · No CFBD row
+3 (-115)
+124

Market vs model

Spread
LSU -3
MISS +3 (-115)
LSU -3 (-105)
Model
LSU -0.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
MISS +124 · LSU -148
Total 58.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MISS rating 17.7, LSU rating 20.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MISS.
  • Predicted margin is LSU by 0.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 0.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

LSU

FPI 20.3 · rank 8 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

MISS

FPI 17.7 · rank 13 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 0.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.6; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.