Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 6:30pm CT · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) · Norman, OK · ESPNEWSFinal
UNM
New Mexico Lobos · Mountain West · 2-1 · Away
FPI 4 · rank 57 · No CFBD row
+21.5 (-112)
+1100
#24 OU
Oklahoma Sooners · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 16.7 · rank 14 · No CFBD row
-21.5 (-108)
-2100
Market vs model
Spread
OU -21.5
OU -21.5 (-108)
UNM +21.5 (-112)
UNM +21.5 (-112)
Model
OU -15.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
OU
OU -2100 · UNM +1100
Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- OU rating 16.7, UNM rating 4.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to OU.
- Predicted margin is OU by 15.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 15.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 12.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is OU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UNM
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
OU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 15.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 12.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.