Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Sep 19 · 4:35pm CT · Williams-Brice Stadium · Columbia, SC · SEC NetworkFinal
#24 MSST
Mississippi State Bulldogs · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 14.1 · rank 22 · No CFBD row
+3 (-108)
+130
SC
South Carolina Gamecocks · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 12.1 · rank 27 · No CFBD row
-3 (-112)
-155

Market vs model

Spread
SC -3
SC -3 (-112)
MSST +3 (-108)
Model
SC -0.5
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
SC -155 · MSST +130
Total 59.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • SC rating 12.1, MSST rating 14.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to SC.
  • Predicted margin is SC by 0.5.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 0.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MSST

FPI 14.1 · rank 22 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

SC

FPI 12.1 · rank 27 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 0.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.