Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 6:45pm CT · Neyland Stadium · Knoxville, TN · SECN+Final
KENN
Kennesaw State Owls · C-USA · 1-2 · Away
FPI -11 · rank 115 · No CFBD row
+35.5 (-112)
+3500
#14 TENN
Tennessee Volunteers · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 18.5 · rank 10 · No CFBD row
-35.5 (-108)
-20000
Market vs model
Spread
TENN -35.5
TENN -35.5 (-108)
KENN +35.5 (-112)
KENN +35.5 (-112)
Model
TENN -32
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TENN
TENN -20000 · KENN +3500
Total 60.5 — no O/U pick
Total 60.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TENN rating 18.5, KENN rating -11.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TENN.
- Predicted margin is TENN by 32.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 32. No market line yet. (Rating gap 29.5; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TENN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
KENN
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
TENN
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 32. No market line yet. (Rating gap 29.5; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.