Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 2:40pm CT · Kyle Field · College Station, TX · ESPNFinal
UK
Kentucky Wildcats · SEC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 8.5 · rank 36 · No CFBD row
+16.5 (-105)
+575
#23 TA&M
Texas A&M Aggies · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 18.2 · rank 11 · No CFBD row
-16.5 (-115)
-850
Market vs model
Spread
TA&M -16.5
TA&M -16.5 (-115)
UK +16.5 (-105)
UK +16.5 (-105)
Model
TA&M -12.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TA&M
TA&M -850 · UK +575
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML loss
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TA&M rating 18.2, UK rating 8.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TA&M.
- Predicted margin is TA&M by 12.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 12.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TA&M, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UK
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
TA&M
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 12.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.