Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 11:45am CT · FirstBank Stadium · Nashville, TN · SEC NetworkFinal
NCSU
NC State Wolfpack · ACC · 1-2 · Away
FPI 2 · rank 61 · No CFBD row
+3 (-112)
+130
VAN
Vanderbilt Commodores · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 6.1 · rank 43 · No CFBD row
-3 (-108)
-155
Market vs model
Spread
VAN -3
VAN -3 (-108)
NCSU +3 (-112)
NCSU +3 (-112)
Model
VAN -6.6
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
VAN
VAN -155 · NCSU +130
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- VAN rating 6.1, NCSU rating 2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to VAN.
- Predicted margin is VAN by 6.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 6.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is VAN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NCSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
VAN
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 6.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.1; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.