Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 6:00pm CT · Bryant-Denny Stadium · Tuscaloosa, AL · ESPN6:00pm CT
SC
South Carolina Gamecocks · SEC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 12.1 · rank 27 · No CFBD row
+12.5 (-110)
+370
#8 ALA
Alabama Crimson Tide · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 22.3 · rank 7 · No CFBD row
-12.5 (-110)
-485

Market vs model

Spread
ALA -12.5
ALA -12.5 (-110)
SC +12.5 (-110)
Model
ALA -12.7
Edge 0.2 pts ALA
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ALA
ALA -485 · SC +370
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ALA rating 22.3, SC rating 12.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ALA.
  • Predicted margin is ALA by 12.7.
  • Edge is 0.2 points toward ALA.
  • Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 10.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is ALA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

SC

FPI 12.1 · rank 27 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs MSST 41-34 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs TOW 45-9 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs KENT 57-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs CLEM 28-14 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs CCU 51-7 · Sat, Nov 22

ALA

FPI 22.3 · rank 7 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs FSU 50-36 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ UK 45-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ECU 48-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs IU 38-3 · Thu, Jan 1
  5. W@ OU 34-24 · Fri, Dec 19

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 10.2; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML