Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 7:00pm CT · Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium · Fayetteville, AR · SECN+7:00pm CT
TLSA
Tulsa Golden Hurricane · American · 3-0 · Away
FPI -1 · rank 72 · No CFBD row
+7 (-110)
+220
ARK
Arkansas Razorbacks · SEC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -1.6 · rank 74 · No CFBD row
-7 (-110)
-270
Market vs model
Spread
ARK -7
ARK -7 (-110)
TLSA +7 (-110)
TLSA +7 (-110)
Model
ARK -2
Edge 5 pts TLSA
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
ARK -270 · TLSA +220
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ARK rating -1.6, TLSA rating -1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ARK.
- Predicted margin is ARK by 2.
- Edge is 5 points toward TLSA.
- Edge 5 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -0.5; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
TLSA
- Wvs ETAM 42-0 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ SHSU 23-17 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs OKST 24-10 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs UAB 31-24 · Sat, Nov 29
- W@ ARMY 26-25 · Sat, Nov 22
ARK
- Lvs UGA 45-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ UTAH 43-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs UNA 31-14 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs MIZ 31-17 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ TEX 52-37 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.