Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 3:15pm CT · Jordan-Hare Stadium · Auburn, AL · SEC Network3:15pm CT
VAN
Vanderbilt Commodores · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 6.1 · rank 43 · No CFBD row
+9.5 (-110)
+280
AUB
Auburn Tigers · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 12.9 · rank 24 · No CFBD row
-9.5 (-110)
-355

Market vs model

Spread
AUB -9.5
AUB -9.5 (-110)
VAN +9.5 (-110)
Model
AUB -9.3
Edge 0.2 pts VAN
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
AUB
AUB -355 · VAN +280
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • AUB rating 12.9, VAN rating 6.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to AUB.
  • Predicted margin is AUB by 9.3.
  • Edge is 0.2 points toward VAN.
  • Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 6.8; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is AUB, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

VAN

FPI 6.1 · rank 43 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs NCSU 35-31 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs DEL 35-26 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs APSU 28-9 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs IOWA 34-27 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. W@ TENN 45-24 · Sat, Nov 29

AUB

FPI 12.9 · rank 24 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs FLA 44-39 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs USM 43-8 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BAY 17-16 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ALA 27-20 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs MER 62-17 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 6.8; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.