Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 2:30pm CT · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium · Gainesville, FL · ABC2:30pm CT
#4 MISS
Ole Miss Rebels · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 17.7 · rank 13 · No CFBD row
+3.5 (-120)
+130
#21 FLA
Florida Gators · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 16.4 · rank 16 · No CFBD row
-3.5 (+100)
-155
Market vs model
Spread
FLA -3.5
FLA -3.5 (+100)
MISS +3.5 (-120)
MISS +3.5 (-120)
Model
FLA -1.2
Edge 2.3 pts MISS
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
FLA -155 · MISS +130
Total 58.5 — no O/U pick
Total 58.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- FLA rating 16.4, MISS rating 17.7.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to FLA.
- Predicted margin is FLA by 1.2.
- Edge is 2.3 points toward MISS.
- Edge 2.3 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -1.3; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MISS
- Wvs LSU 32-24 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs CLT 41-9 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs LOU 41-38 · Sun, Sep 6
- Lvs MIA 31-27 · Thu, Jan 8
- Wvs UGA 39-34 · Thu, Jan 1
FLA
- W@ AUB 44-39 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs CAM 52-3 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs FAU 66-21 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs FSU 40-21 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs TENN 31-11 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.