Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 2:30pm CT · Sanford Stadium · Athens, GA · ESPN2:30pm CT
OU
Oklahoma Sooners · SEC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 16.7 · rank 14 · No CFBD row
+14 (-110)
+440
#2 UGA
Georgia Bulldogs · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 27.1 · rank 3 · No CFBD row
-14 (-110)
-600

Market vs model

Spread
UGA -14
UGA -14 (-110)
OU +14 (-110)
Model
UGA -12.8
Edge 1.2 pts OU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UGA
UGA -600 · OU +440
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UGA rating 27.1, OU rating 16.7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UGA.
  • Predicted margin is UGA by 12.8.
  • Edge is 1.2 points toward OU.
  • Edge 1.2 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 10.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UGA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

OU

FPI 16.7 · rank 14 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UNM 14-6 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ MICH 17-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs UTEP 51-0 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Lvs ALA 34-24 · Fri, Dec 19
  5. Wvs LSU 17-13 · Sat, Nov 29

UGA

FPI 27.1 · rank 3 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ ARK 45-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WKU 70-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs TNST 63-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MISS 39-34 · Thu, Jan 1
  5. Wvs ALA 28-7 · Sat, Dec 6

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Edge 1.2 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 10.3; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.