Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 6:30pm CT · Tiger Stadium (LA) · Baton Rouge, LA · ABC6:30pm CT
#23 TA&M
Texas A&M Aggies · SEC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 18.2 · rank 11 · No CFBD row
+8.5 (-110)
+270
#10 LSU
LSU Tigers · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 20.3 · rank 8 · No CFBD row
-8.5 (-110)
-340

Market vs model

Spread
LSU -8.5
LSU -8.5 (-110)
TA&M +8.5 (-110)
Model
LSU -4.6
Edge 3.9 pts TA&M
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LSU
LSU -340 · TA&M +270
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • LSU rating 20.3, TA&M rating 18.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to LSU.
  • Predicted margin is LSU by 4.6.
  • Edge is 3.9 points toward TA&M.
  • Edge 3.9 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 2.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is LSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

TA&M

FPI 18.2 · rank 11 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs UK 31-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ASU 48-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs MOST 50-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MIA 10-3 · Sat, Dec 20
  5. L@ TEX 27-17 · Fri, Nov 28

LSU

FPI 20.3 · rank 8 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ MISS 32-24 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs LT 45-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs CLEM 51-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs HOU 38-35 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. L@ OU 17-13 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.