Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 11:00am CT · Neyland Stadium · Knoxville, TN · ABC11:00am CT
#1 TEX
Texas Longhorns · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 28.1 · rank 2 · No CFBD row
-4 (-110)
-192
#14 TENN
Tennessee Volunteers · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 18.5 · rank 10 · No CFBD row
+4 (-110)
+160
Market vs model
Spread
TEX -4
TENN +4 (-110)
TEX -4 (-110)
TEX -4 (-110)
Model
TEX -7.1
Edge 3.1 pts TEX
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TEX
TENN +160 · TEX -192
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TENN rating 18.5, TEX rating 28.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TENN.
- Predicted margin is TEX by 7.1.
- Edge is 3.1 points toward TEX.
- Edge 3.1 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -9.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TEX, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
TEX
- Wvs UTSA 30-6 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs OSU 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs TXST 59-7 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs MICH 41-27 · Wed, Dec 31
- Wvs TA&M 27-17 · Fri, Nov 28
TENN
- Wvs KENN 42-9 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ GT 45-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs FUR 56-9 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ILL 30-28 · Tue, Dec 30
- Lvs VAN 45-24 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.