Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 3 · 6:45pm CT · Tiger Stadium (LA) · Baton Rouge, LA · SEC Network6:45pm CT
MCN
McNeese Cowboys · 1-3 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
#10 LSU
LSU Tigers · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 20.3 · rank 8 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
LSU
MCN
Model
LSU -34.8
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LSU
LSU · MCN
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • LSU rating 20.3, MCN rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to LSU.
  • Predicted margin is LSU by 34.8.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 34.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 32.3; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is LSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MCN

No FPI row · No CFBD row

  1. L@ RGV 27-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs TAR 27-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs TWES 52-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs SFA 38-27 · Sat, Aug 29
  5. W@ LAM 21-19 · Sat, Nov 22

LSU

FPI 20.3 · rank 8 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ MISS 32-24 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs LT 45-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs CLEM 51-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs HOU 38-35 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. L@ OU 17-13 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 34.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 32.3; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.