Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Oct 3 · 2:30pm CT · Memorial Stadium · Columbia, MO2:30pm CT
#21 FLA
Florida Gators · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 16.4 · rank 16 · No CFBD row
-2.5 (-110)
-130
#19 MIZ
Missouri Tigers · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 10.5 · rank 32 · No CFBD row
+2.5 (-110)
+110
Market vs model
Spread
FLA -2.5
MIZ +2.5 (-110)
FLA -2.5 (-110)
FLA -2.5 (-110)
Model
FLA -3.3
Edge 0.8 pts FLA
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FLA
MIZ +110 · FLA -130
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MIZ rating 10.5, FLA rating 16.4.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MIZ.
- Predicted margin is FLA by 3.3.
- Edge is 0.8 points toward FLA.
- Edge 0.8 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -5.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is FLA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
FLA
- W@ AUB 44-39 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs CAM 52-3 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs FAU 66-21 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs FSU 40-21 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs TENN 31-11 · Sat, Nov 22
MIZ
- Wvs TROY 27-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ KU 38-21 · Fri, Sep 11
- Wvs UAPB 54-14 · Thu, Sep 3
- Lvs UVA 13-7 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ ARK 31-17 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Edge 0.8 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -5.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.