Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Fri, Oct 9 · 11:00pm CT · Bryant-Denny Stadium · Tuscaloosa, AL11:00pm CT
#2 UGA
Georgia Bulldogs · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 27.1 · rank 3 · No CFBD row
-3 (-110)
-162
#8 ALA
Alabama Crimson Tide · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 22.3 · rank 7 · No CFBD row
+3 (-110)
+136

Market vs model

Spread
UGA -3
ALA +3 (-110)
UGA -3 (-110)
Model
UGA -2.3
Edge 0.7 pts ALA
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UGA
ALA +136 · UGA -162
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ALA rating 22.3, UGA rating 27.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ALA.
  • Predicted margin is UGA by 2.3.
  • Edge is 0.7 points toward ALA.
  • Edge 0.7 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.8; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UGA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UGA

FPI 27.1 · rank 3 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ ARK 45-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WKU 70-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs TNST 63-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MISS 39-34 · Thu, Jan 1
  5. Wvs ALA 28-7 · Sat, Dec 6

ALA

FPI 22.3 · rank 7 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs FSU 50-36 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ UK 45-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ECU 48-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs IU 38-3 · Thu, Jan 1
  5. W@ OU 34-24 · Fri, Dec 19

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Edge 0.7 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.8; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML