Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 9 · 11:00pm CT · Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium · Fayetteville, AR11:00pm CT
#14 TENN
Tennessee Volunteers · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 18.5 · rank 10 · No CFBD row
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ARK
Arkansas Razorbacks · SEC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -1.6 · rank 74 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
ARK —
TENN —
TENN —
Model
TENN -17.6
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TENN
ARK — · TENN —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ARK rating -1.6, TENN rating 18.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ARK.
- Predicted margin is TENN by 17.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 17.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -20.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TENN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
TENN
- Wvs KENN 42-9 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ GT 45-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs FUR 56-9 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ILL 30-28 · Tue, Dec 30
- Lvs VAN 45-24 · Sat, Nov 29
ARK
- Lvs UGA 45-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ UTAH 43-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs UNA 31-14 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs MIZ 31-17 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ TEX 52-37 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 17.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -20.1; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.