Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 9 · 11:00pm CT · Kroger Field · Lexington, KY11:00pm CT
#10 LSU
LSU Tigers · SEC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 20.3 · rank 8 · No CFBD row
UK
Kentucky Wildcats · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 8.5 · rank 36 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
UK
LSU
Model
LSU -9.4
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LSU
UK · LSU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UK rating 8.5, LSU rating 20.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UK.
  • Predicted margin is LSU by 9.4.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 9.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -11.9; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is LSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

LSU

FPI 20.3 · rank 8 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ MISS 32-24 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs LT 45-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs CLEM 51-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs HOU 38-35 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. L@ OU 17-13 · Sat, Nov 29

UK

FPI 8.5 · rank 36 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ TA&M 31-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs ALA 45-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs YSU 45-13 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ LOU 41-0 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ VAN 45-17 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 9.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -11.9; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.