Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 10 · 2:30pm CT · Cotton Bowl · Dallas, TX · Neutral2:30pm CT
#1 TEX
Texas Longhorns · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 28.1 · rank 2 · No CFBD row
-6 (-112)
-218
OU
Oklahoma Sooners · SEC · 2-1
FPI 16.7 · rank 14 · No CFBD row
+6 (-108)
+180

Market vs model

Spread
TEX -6
OU +6 (-108)
TEX -6 (-112)
Model
TEX -11.4
Edge 5.4 pts TEX
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TEX
OU +180 · TEX -218
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • OU rating 16.7, TEX rating 28.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Neutral site, so home field is 0.
  • Predicted margin is TEX by 11.4.
  • Edge is 5.4 points toward TEX.
  • Edge 5.4 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -11.4; neutral site (no home field)).
  • Moneyline ticket is TEX, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

TEX

FPI 28.1 · rank 2 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UTSA 30-6 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs OSU 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs TXST 59-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs MICH 41-27 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. Wvs TA&M 27-17 · Fri, Nov 28

OU

FPI 16.7 · rank 14 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UNM 14-6 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ MICH 17-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs UTEP 51-0 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Lvs ALA 34-24 · Fri, Dec 19
  5. Wvs LSU 17-13 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.