Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · Tiger Stadium (LA) · Baton Rouge, LA11:00pm CT
#24 MSST
Mississippi State Bulldogs · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 14.1 · rank 22 · No CFBD row
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#10 LSU
LSU Tigers · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 20.3 · rank 8 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
LSU —
MSST —
MSST —
Model
LSU -8.7
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LSU
LSU — · MSST —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- LSU rating 20.3, MSST rating 14.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to LSU.
- Predicted margin is LSU by 8.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 8.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.2; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is LSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MSST
- W@ SC 41-34 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ MINN 38-13 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ULM 62-13 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs WAKE 43-29 · Fri, Jan 2
- Lvs MISS 38-19 · Fri, Nov 28
LSU
- L@ MISS 32-24 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs LT 45-14 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs CLEM 51-10 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs HOU 38-35 · Sat, Dec 27
- L@ OU 17-13 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 8.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.2; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.