Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium · Oxford, MS11:00pm CT
#19 MIZ
Missouri Tigers · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 10.5 · rank 32 · No CFBD row
#4 MISS
Ole Miss Rebels · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 17.7 · rank 13 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
MISS
MIZ
Model
MISS -9.7
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MISS
MISS · MIZ
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MISS rating 17.7, MIZ rating 10.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MISS.
  • Predicted margin is MISS by 9.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 9.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is MISS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MIZ

FPI 10.5 · rank 32 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs TROY 27-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ KU 38-21 · Fri, Sep 11
  3. Wvs UAPB 54-14 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Lvs UVA 13-7 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. W@ ARK 31-17 · Sat, Nov 29

MISS

FPI 17.7 · rank 13 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs LSU 32-24 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs CLT 41-9 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs LOU 41-38 · Sun, Sep 6
  4. Lvs MIA 31-27 · Thu, Jan 8
  5. Wvs UGA 39-34 · Thu, Jan 1

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 9.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.2; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.