Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium · Austin, TX11:00pm CT
#21 FLA
Florida Gators · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 16.4 · rank 16 · No CFBD row
—
—
#1 TEX
Texas Longhorns · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 28.1 · rank 2 · No CFBD row
—
—
Market vs model
Spread
—
TEX —
FLA —
FLA —
Model
TEX -14.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TEX
TEX — · FLA —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TEX rating 28.1, FLA rating 16.4.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TEX.
- Predicted margin is TEX by 14.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 14.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TEX, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
FLA
- W@ AUB 44-39 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs CAM 52-3 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs FAU 66-21 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs FSU 40-21 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs TENN 31-11 · Sat, Nov 22
TEX
- Wvs UTSA 30-6 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs OSU 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs TXST 59-7 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs MICH 41-27 · Wed, Dec 31
- Wvs TA&M 27-17 · Fri, Nov 28
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 14.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.