Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 17 · 12:00pm CT · Kyle Field · College Station, TX · SECN+12:00pm CT
CIT
The Citadel Bulldogs · 1-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
#23 TA&M
Texas A&M Aggies · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 18.2 · rank 11 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
TA&M
CIT
Model
TA&M -32.7
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TA&M
TA&M · CIT
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • TA&M rating 18.2, CIT rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to TA&M.
  • Predicted margin is TA&M by 32.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 32.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 30.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is TA&M, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

CIT

No FPI row · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs CHSO 26-20 2OT · Sat, Sep 12
  2. W@ CLT 43-41 3OT · Sat, Sep 5
  3. L@ WOF 42-14 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. L@ ETSU 28-26 · Sat, Nov 22
  5. Lvs WOF 16-14 · Sat, Nov 15

TA&M

FPI 18.2 · rank 11 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs UK 31-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ASU 48-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs MOST 50-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MIA 10-3 · Sat, Dec 20
  5. L@ TEX 27-17 · Fri, Nov 28

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 32.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 30.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.