Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · FirstBank Stadium · Nashville, TN11:00pm CT
ARK
Arkansas Razorbacks · SEC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -1.6 · rank 74 · No CFBD row
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VAN
Vanderbilt Commodores · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 6.1 · rank 43 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
VAN —
ARK —
ARK —
Model
VAN -10.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
VAN
VAN — · ARK —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- VAN rating 6.1, ARK rating -1.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to VAN.
- Predicted margin is VAN by 10.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 10.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is VAN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ARK
- Lvs UGA 45-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ UTAH 43-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs UNA 31-14 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs MIZ 31-17 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ TEX 52-37 · Sat, Nov 22
VAN
- Wvs NCSU 35-31 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs DEL 35-26 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs APSU 28-9 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs IOWA 34-27 · Wed, Dec 31
- W@ TENN 45-24 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 10.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.