Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 23 · 11:00pm CT · Bryant-Denny Stadium · Tuscaloosa, AL11:00pm CT
#23 TA&M
Texas A&M Aggies · SEC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 18.2 · rank 11 · No CFBD row
+2.5 (-112)
+120
#8 ALA
Alabama Crimson Tide · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 22.3 · rank 7 · No CFBD row
-2.5 (-108)
-142

Market vs model

Spread
ALA -2.5
ALA -2.5 (-108)
TA&M +2.5 (-112)
Model
ALA -6.5
Edge 4 pts ALA
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ALA
ALA -142 · TA&M +120
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ALA rating 22.3, TA&M rating 18.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ALA.
  • Predicted margin is ALA by 6.5.
  • Edge is 4 points toward ALA.
  • Edge 4 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is ALA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

TA&M

FPI 18.2 · rank 11 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs UK 31-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ASU 48-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs MOST 50-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MIA 10-3 · Sat, Dec 20
  5. L@ TEX 27-17 · Fri, Nov 28

ALA

FPI 22.3 · rank 7 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs FSU 50-36 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ UK 45-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ECU 48-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs IU 38-3 · Thu, Jan 1
  5. W@ OU 34-24 · Fri, Dec 19

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.