Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

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Fri, Oct 23 · 11:00pm CT · Davis Wade Stadium · Starkville, MS11:00pm CT
OU
Oklahoma Sooners · SEC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 16.7 · rank 14 · No CFBD row
#24 MSST
Mississippi State Bulldogs · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 14.1 · rank 22 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
MSST
OU
Model
OU -0.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
MSST · OU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MSST rating 14.1, OU rating 16.7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MSST.
  • Predicted margin is OU by 0.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 0.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

OU

FPI 16.7 · rank 14 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UNM 14-6 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ MICH 17-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs UTEP 51-0 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Lvs ALA 34-24 · Fri, Dec 19
  5. Wvs LSU 17-13 · Sat, Nov 29

MSST

FPI 14.1 · rank 22 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ SC 41-34 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ MINN 38-13 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ULM 62-13 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs WAKE 43-29 · Fri, Jan 2
  5. Lvs MISS 38-19 · Fri, Nov 28

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 0.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.6; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.