Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 23 · 11:00pm CT · Williams-Brice Stadium · Columbia, SC11:00pm CT
#14 TENN
Tennessee Volunteers · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 18.5 · rank 10 · No CFBD row
SC
South Carolina Gamecocks · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 12.1 · rank 27 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
SC
TENN
Model
TENN -3.9
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TENN
SC · TENN
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • SC rating 12.1, TENN rating 18.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to SC.
  • Predicted margin is TENN by 3.9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 3.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -6.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is TENN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

TENN

FPI 18.5 · rank 10 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs KENN 42-9 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ GT 45-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs FUR 56-9 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ILL 30-28 · Tue, Dec 30
  5. Lvs VAN 45-24 · Sat, Nov 29

SC

FPI 12.1 · rank 27 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs MSST 41-34 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs TOW 45-9 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs KENT 57-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs CLEM 28-14 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs CCU 51-7 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 3.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -6.4; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.