Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 23 · 11:00pm CT · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium · Austin, TX11:00pm CT
#4 MISS
Ole Miss Rebels · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 17.7 · rank 13 · No CFBD row
+8.5 (-112)
+250
#1 TEX
Texas Longhorns · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 28.1 · rank 2 · No CFBD row
-8.5 (-108)
-310
Market vs model
Spread
TEX -8.5
TEX -8.5 (-108)
MISS +8.5 (-112)
MISS +8.5 (-112)
Model
TEX -12.9
Edge 4.4 pts TEX
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TEX
TEX -310 · MISS +250
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TEX rating 28.1, MISS rating 17.7.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TEX.
- Predicted margin is TEX by 12.9.
- Edge is 4.4 points toward TEX.
- Edge 4.4 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 10.4; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TEX, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MISS
- Wvs LSU 32-24 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs CLT 41-9 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs LOU 41-38 · Sun, Sep 6
- Lvs MIA 31-27 · Thu, Jan 8
- Wvs UGA 39-34 · Thu, Jan 1
TEX
- Wvs UTSA 30-6 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs OSU 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs TXST 59-7 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs MICH 41-27 · Wed, Dec 31
- Wvs TA&M 27-17 · Fri, Nov 28
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.